JK Tabasaluvs
Tartu Kalev
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 10/24/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tartu Kalev · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-4 (8%), 1-3 (7%), 2-4 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
JK Tabasalu 2-1 Tartu Kalev
Original prediction
Tartu Kalev
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.01 | 29.8% | 17.7% | -12.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.00 | 22.4% | 14.7% | -7.7 pts |
| Away | 1.88 | 47.8% | 67.7% | 19.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–48%
- 2.1–37%
- 3.2–47%
Predicted outcome
Tartu Kalev
Probability
67.7%
Model confidence
67.7%
Tartu Kalev has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00