GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 3/15/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nõmme United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

JK Tabasalu are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Nõmme United are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Nõmme United hold a 29.3-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 82.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.6% in the Esiliiga A, while Nõmme United holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nõmme United

Probability

72.6%

Model confidence

72.6%

Nõmme United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JK TabasaluLWDWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Nõmme UnitedWWWWW

GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
JK TabasaluNõmme United
75.0Attack100.0
35.2Defence73.1
50.9Form83.3
53.1Power82.4
1.39xG3.62
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