JK Tabasaluvs
Narva U21
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 10/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Narva U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-4 (10%), 1-3 (9%), 0-4 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
JK Tabasalu 0-0 Narva U21
Original prediction
Narva U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 13:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.99 | 11.3% | 7.1% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 6.13 | 14.7% | 9.8% | -4.9 pts |
| Away | 1.21 | 74.1% | 83.1% | 9.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 5.13 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–410%
- 2.1–39%
- 3.0–49%
Predicted outcome
Narva U21
Probability
83.1%
Model confidence
83.1%
Narva U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40