JK Tabasaluvs
Luunja
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 10/11/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luunja · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-4 (7%), 1-4 (7%), 2-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
JK Tabasalu 1-2 Luunja
Original prediction
Luunja
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 35.3% | 24.0% | -11.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.33 | 20.8% | 18.3% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.06 | 43.9% | 57.7% | 13.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–47%
- 2.1–47%
- 3.2–37%
Predicted outcome
Luunja
Probability
57.7%
Model confidence
57.7%
Luunja has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
JK TabasaluLDLWL
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
LuunjaLLWLL
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
JK TabasaluLuunja
48.9Attack78.9
10.0Defence33.3
36.7Form52.2
34.4Power53.3
2.13xG4.37