JK Tabasaluvs
Luunja
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 9/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luunja · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-4 (7%), 1-4 (7%), 2-5 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
JK Tabasalu 3-2 Luunja
Original prediction
Luunja
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.65 | 24.8% | 18.1% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.62 | 19.6% | 14.6% | -4.9 pts |
| Away | 1.62 | 55.7% | 67.3% | 11.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–47%
- 2.1–47%
- 3.2–57%
Predicted outcome
Luunja
Probability
67.3%
Model confidence
67.3%
Luunja has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
JK TabasaluLLDDL
GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
LuunjaLLLWD
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
JK TabasaluLuunja
47.4Attack84.6
9.0Defence32.1
37.2Form56.4
33.7Power55.8
2.09xG4.50