GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga B · 9/14/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

JK Tabasalu · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 3-1 (8%), 2-1 (7%), 4-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

JK Tabasalu 1-1 Legion

Original prediction

JK Tabasalu

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5259.0%66.3%7.3 pts
Draw4.6819.2%15.5%-3.7 pts
Away4.1321.8%18.2%-3.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.68 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

7.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.3–18%
  2. 2.2–17%
  3. 3.4–17%

Predicted outcome

JK Tabasalu

Probability

66.3%

Model confidence

66.3%

JK Tabasalu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JK TabasaluLWLLD

GF 6 · GA 18 · avg 1.20/3.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
LegionLLLLD

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
JK TabasaluLegion
48.8Attack30.9
8.3Defence0.0
38.1Form18.5
34.4Power18.9
3.31xG1.61
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