Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JJK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
JJK are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while TPV are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and JJK hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (50.5 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.9% in the Ykkönen, while JJK holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JJK
Probability
63.9%
Model confidence
7.9%
JJK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40