Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JJK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
JJK are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while SalPa are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and SalPa hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (50.5 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.3% in the Ykkönen, while JJK holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JJK
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
7.3%
JJK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40