Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PKKU · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-3 (6%), 1-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
JJK 6-2 PKKU
Original prediction
PKKU
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.6% | 40.4% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.3% | 19.1% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 2.58 | 35.1% | 40.5% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–36%
- 3.1–26%
Predicted outcome
PKKU
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
PKKU has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
JJKLLLLW
GF 9 · GA 18 · avg 1.80/3.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
PKKULLWLW
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
JJKPKKU
71.8Attack57.7
24.4Defence47.4
39.7Form48.7
44.5Power52.1
2.43xG2.50