Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JJK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
JJK are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while PKKU are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and PKKU hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (50.5 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.6% in the Ykkönen, while JJK holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JJK
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
7.6%
JJK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80