Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JJK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 3-2 (6%), 2-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
JJK 1-3 OLS
Original prediction
JJK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 41.0% | 44.1% | 3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.3% | 18.9% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 2.53 | 35.8% | 37.0% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.3–26%
- 3.2–16%
Predicted outcome
JJK
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
JJK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
JJKLWDDD
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
OLSDWLDD
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
JJKOLS
78.3Attack63.8
33.3Defence47.8
44.9Form50.7
50.8Power54.5
2.65xG2.41