Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
OLS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
JJK are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while OLS are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and OLS hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (50.5 v 56.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the Ykkönen, while OLS holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
OLS
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
7.5%
OLS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40