Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JJK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
JJK are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while KPV-j are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and JJK hold a 29.8-point power-rating edge (50.5 v 20.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the Ykkönen, while JJK holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JJK
Probability
86.5%
Model confidence
9.8%
JJK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20