JJ Urquizavs
Mercedes
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 2/21/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
JJ Urquiza are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Mercedes are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Mercedes hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (40.7 v 54.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.0% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 12% BTTS chance and 5% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
58.0%
Model confidence
58.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80