GGOALVIO

JJ Urquiza logoJJ UrquizavsLugano logoLugano

COMPLETED

Argentina · Primera C · 2/28/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

JJ Urquiza are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Lugano are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lugano hold a 14.9-point power-rating edge (40.7 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.2%

Model confidence

36.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JJ UrquizaLLLDL

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
LuganoWLLDL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
JJ UrquizaLugano
13.0Attack39.1
72.5Defence71.0
30.4Form52.2
40.7Power55.6
0.41xG0.62
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