JJ Urquizavs
Leandro N. Alem
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 9/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JJ Urquiza · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: JJ Urquiza 0-0 Leandro N. Alem, with an exact score probability of 28%.
Prediction record
Final result
JJ Urquiza 1-2 Leandro N. Alem
Original prediction
JJ Urquiza
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 42.4% | 43.5% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.56 | 35.2% | 34.6% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 4.03 | 22.4% | 21.9% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Projected Score
JJ Urquiza 0–0 Leandro N. Alem
Exact score probability: 28%
Predicted outcome
JJ Urquiza
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
JJ Urquiza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00