Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
JIPPO are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Turku PS are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 57.5 against 56.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40