GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkösliiga · 5/4/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

JIPPO · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

JIPPO are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while SJK Akatemia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and JIPPO hold a 23.4-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 34.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.1% in the Ykkösliiga, while JIPPO holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

JIPPO

Probability

55.1%

Model confidence

55.1%

JIPPO has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JIPPOWDWLW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
SJK AkatemiaLLLWW

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
JIPPOSJK Akatemia
42.1Attack15.8
71.9Defence56.1
54.4Form21.1
57.5Power34.1
1.28xG0.39
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