Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JIPPO · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
JIPPO are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while SalPa are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and JIPPO hold a 17.6-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.2% in the Ykkösliiga, while JIPPO holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JIPPO
Probability
61.2%
Model confidence
61.2%
JIPPO has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 4 · avg 3.60/0.80
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80