Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JIPPO · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
JIPPO are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while SalPa are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and JIPPO hold a 17.6-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.2% in the Ykkösliiga, while JIPPO holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JIPPO
Probability
61.2%
Model confidence
61.2%
JIPPO has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60