Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
JIPPO are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while PK-35 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and PK-35 hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 65.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20