Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
JIPPO are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while PK-35 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and PK-35 hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (59.4 v 66.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.7% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
20.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00