Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
JIPPO are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while PK-35 are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and PK-35 hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 65.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40