Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JIPPO · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
JIPPO are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while MP are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and JIPPO hold an 11.6-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the Ykkösliiga, while JIPPO holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JIPPO
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
JIPPO has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40