Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
JIPPO are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Lahti are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lahti hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 68.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40