Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JIPPO · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
JIPPO are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while KäPa are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and JIPPO hold a 20.2-point power-rating edge (59.4 v 39.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.9% in the Ykkösliiga, while JIPPO holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JIPPO
Probability
65.5%
Model confidence
17.9%
JIPPO has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00