Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JIPPO · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
JIPPO are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while KäPa are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and JIPPO hold a 19.1-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 38.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.8% in the Ykkösliiga, while JIPPO holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JIPPO
Probability
60.8%
Model confidence
60.8%
JIPPO has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 9 · GA 20 · avg 1.80/4.00