Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JIPPO · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
JIPPO are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while KäPa are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and JIPPO hold a 19.1-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 38.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.8% in the Ykkösliiga, while JIPPO holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JIPPO
Probability
60.8%
Model confidence
60.8%
JIPPO has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00