Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JIPPO · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
JIPPO are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Klubi-04 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and JIPPO hold a 21.9-point power-rating edge (59.4 v 37.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.1% in the Ykkösliiga, while JIPPO holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JIPPO
Probability
56.1%
Model confidence
56.1%
JIPPO has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40