Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JIPPO · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
JIPPO are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Klubi-04 are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and JIPPO hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.0% in the Ykkösliiga, while JIPPO holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JIPPO
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
JIPPO has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40