Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JIPPO · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
JIPPO are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while JäPS are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and JIPPO hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (59.4 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.9% in the Ykkösliiga, while JIPPO holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JIPPO
Probability
57.9%
Model confidence
20.9%
JIPPO has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00