Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JIPPO · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
JIPPO are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while JäPS are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and JIPPO hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.3% in the Ykkösliiga, while JIPPO holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JIPPO
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
JIPPO has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00