Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JIPPO · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
JIPPO are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while JäPS are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and JIPPO hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.3% in the Ykkösliiga, while JIPPO holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JIPPO
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
JIPPO has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60