Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JIPPO · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
JIPPO 2-1 Haka
Original prediction
JIPPO
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 13:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.07 | 29.5% | 36.9% | 7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.8% | 27.4% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.08 | 43.7% | 35.7% | -8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
JIPPO
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
JIPPO has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
JIPPOWDLWL
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
HakaWLLWD
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
JIPPOHaka
46.2Attack64.1
73.1Defence62.8
56.4Form60.3
59.2Power62.4
1.10xG0.99