Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
JIPPO are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FF Jaro are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FF Jaro hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 64.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40