Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JIPPO · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
JIPPO are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while EIF are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and JIPPO hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.1% in the Ykkösliiga, while JIPPO holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JIPPO
Probability
55.1%
Model confidence
55.1%
JIPPO has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40