Jinju Citizenvs
Namyangju
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K4 League · 9/6/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jinju Citizen · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 3-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jinju Citizen 1-2 Namyangju
Original prediction
Jinju Citizen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.44 | 62.7% | 72.7% | 10.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.07 | 22.1% | 17.3% | -4.9 pts |
| Away | 5.93 | 15.2% | 10.1% | -5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.3–011%
Predicted outcome
Jinju Citizen
Probability
72.7%
Model confidence
72.7%
Jinju Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20