Jinju Citizenvs
Geoje Citizen
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K4 League · 10/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jinju Citizen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jinju Citizen 0-0 Geoje Citizen
Original prediction
Jinju Citizen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.52 | 58.8% | 59.4% | 0.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.05 | 22.1% | 21.7% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 4.69 | 19.1% | 18.9% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.05 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Jinju Citizen
Probability
59.4%
Model confidence
59.4%
Jinju Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80