Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jincheon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Jincheon are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (DWW), averaging 2.33 scored and 0.33 conceded, while Sejong SA are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Jincheon hold an 18.1-point power-rating edge (67.0 v 48.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the K4 League, while Jincheon holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jincheon
Probability
71.9%
Model confidence
12.3%
Jincheon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 2.33/0.33
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20