Jincheonvs
Jungnang Chorus Mustang
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K4 League · 10/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jincheon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jincheon 4-0 Jungnang Chorus Mustang
Original prediction
Jincheon
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 18:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 51.3% | 44.7% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 23.9% | 26.5% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 3.62 | 24.8% | 28.7% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Jincheon
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
44.7%
Jincheon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80