Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jincheon · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Jincheon are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Haman are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Jincheon hold a 27.3-point power-rating edge (67.0 v 39.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.4% in the K4 League, while Jincheon holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jincheon
Probability
80.7%
Model confidence
15.4%
Jincheon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00