GGOALVIO

China · League One · 5/6/2023, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jinan Xingzhou · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Jinan Xingzhou are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Jinan Xingzhou hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.8% in the League One, while Jinan Xingzhou holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jinan Xingzhou

Probability

48.8%

Model confidence

48.8%

Jinan Xingzhou has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jinan XingzhouWL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Heilongjiang Lava SpringDL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Jinan XingzhouHeilongjiang Lava Spring
37.8Attack51.9
65.6Defence35.2
47.8Form38.9
52.3Power44.6
1.61xG0.95
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