League TwoLeague Two
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:11
Jiangxi Liansheng

Jiangxi Liansheng

Home
L
12
Full time
Shenzhen 2028

Shenzhen 2028

Away
W
Ruichang Sports Park Stadium
GoalVio prediction
42% confidence
Jiangxi Liansheng(42%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Jiangxi Liansheng
42%
Draw
29%
Shenzhen 2028
29%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Jiangxi Liansheng
34
Shenzhen 2028
94
Defence
Jiangxi Liansheng
27
Shenzhen 2028
66
Momentum
Jiangxi Liansheng
0
Shenzhen 2028
100
Danger (xG)
Jiangxi Liansheng
0.90
Shenzhen 2028
2.70
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Jiangxi Liansheng)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Shenzhen 2028)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Jiangxi Liansheng)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Shenzhen 2028)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Jiangxi LianshengJiangxi Liansheng
L
Shenzhen 2028Shenzhen 2028
WL

Probability breakdown

42% confidence
Jiangxi Liansheng42%
Draw29%
Shenzhen 202829%

Jiangxi Liansheng leads with 42% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Jiangxi Liansheng head into this in League Two fixture at Ruichang Sports Park Stadium in mixed form (L), while Shenzhen 2028 arrive in mixed form (W). Jiangxi Liansheng have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Shenzhen 2028 over 1 games.

Tactically, Shenzhen 2028 hold the edge. Their elite attack (94/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Jiangxi Liansheng defence (27/100), while Jiangxi Liansheng's attack faces a solid Shenzhen 2028 backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Jiangxi Liansheng have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Shenzhen 2028 have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Jiangxi Liansheng and Shenzhen 2028 in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Jiangxi Liansheng to win with 42% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Jiangxi Liansheng 4184%, Draw 2925%, Shenzhen 2028 2891%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Jiangxi Liansheng

Jiangxi Liansheng

L
@ Langfang Glory City
8 Jul 2026
12
Shenzhen 2028

Shenzhen 2028

W
vs Langfang Glory City
24 Jun 2026
31
L
vs Shaanxi Union
15 May 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Jiangxi Liansheng vs Shenzhen 2028?

GoalVio's model predicts Jiangxi Liansheng to win with 42% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Jiangxi Liansheng vs Shenzhen 2028?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Jiangxi Liansheng vs Shenzhen 2028?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Jiangxi Liansheng vs Shenzhen 2028?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more