Jiangxi Lianshengvs
Shanghai Port II
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 10/17/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shanghai Port II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Jiangxi Liansheng 0-0 Shanghai Port II, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Jiangxi Liansheng 0-0 Shanghai Port II
Original prediction
Shanghai Port II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.20 | 28.1% | 25.4% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 27.8% | 30.8% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 2.04 | 44.1% | 43.8% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.23 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Projected Score
Jiangxi Liansheng 0–0 Shanghai Port II
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Shanghai Port II
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Shanghai Port II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60