Jiangxi Lianshengvs
Shandong Taishan II
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 9/18/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Jiangxi Liansheng 0-0 Shandong Taishan II, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Jiangxi Liansheng 2-1 Shandong Taishan II
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.96 | 30.4% | 30.6% | 0.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.83 | 31.7% | 33.0% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.37 | 37.9% | 36.4% | -1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Projected Score
Jiangxi Liansheng 0–0 Shandong Taishan II
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.0%
Model confidence
36.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20