Jiangxi Lianshengvs
Dalian Kewei
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 10/7/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Jiangxi Liansheng 0-0 Dalian Kewei, with an exact score probability of 35%.
Prediction record
Final result
Jiangxi Liansheng 0-1 Dalian Kewei
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.08 | 29.2% | 32.0% | 2.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.77 | 32.5% | 35.0% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.35 | 38.3% | 33.0% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.5 pts
Projected Score
Jiangxi Liansheng 0–0 Dalian Kewei
Exact score probability: 35%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.0%
Model confidence
35.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Jiangxi LianshengWLWLW
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Dalian KeweiDWLWD
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Jiangxi LianshengDalian Kewei
37.5Attack31.9
70.8Defence80.6
52.8Form56.9
55.7Power58.9
0.58xG0.52