GGOALVIO

China · FA Cup · 5/17/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jiangxi Liansheng · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Jiangxi Liansheng are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Dalian Huayi are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Jiangxi Liansheng hold a 58.4-point power-rating edge (73.7 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.7% in the FA Cup, while Jiangxi Liansheng holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jiangxi Liansheng

Probability

54.7%

Model confidence

54.7%

Jiangxi Liansheng has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Jiangxi LianshengWWDLW

GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Dalian HuayiDDLWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Jiangxi LianshengDalian Huayi
100.0Attack0.0
77.8Defence33.3
66.7Form0.0
73.7Power15.3
2.14xG0.90
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