1. Liga
JFK Ventspils
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JDFS Alberts
AwayThe model projects 0.96 xG for JFK Ventspils and 2.27 xG for JDFS Alberts. JFK Ventspils's projected xG of 0.96 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 0-2 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. The xG distribution suggests JDFS Alberts will score, but JFK Ventspils's attacking output falls below the threshold the model requires to project both teams scoring.JDFS Alberts's defensive record — 2 clean sheets in 10 matches — combined with JFK Ventspils's limited attacking output (2 clean sheets conceded in 10 games) supports the model's projection of at least one side keeping a clean sheet.
The model projects a combined xG of 3.22 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 0-2 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesJFK VentspilsJDFS AlbertsProbability breakdown
Draw leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
JFK Ventspils vs JDFS Alberts: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw
JFK Ventspils host JDFS Alberts in 1. Liga. JFK Ventspils have recorded LLDWLD in recent matches while JDFS Alberts arrive with a run of DLWLWD. These sides have met 7 times recently, averaging 2.9 goals per game.
Key factors
Why GoalVio backs this
JDFS Alberts are generating a dominant xG advantage — 2.27 projected against 0.96 for JFK Ventspils. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 1.31 is the clearest signal in the model that JDFS Alberts are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.
Biggest risk: JDFS Alberts's projection depends on converting chances into goals. If JFK Ventspils defend deep, absorb pressure, and hit on the counter, the match could end differently than the model projects — particularly if JDFS Alberts fail to score in the first half.
Risk factors
- ⚠JDFS Alberts have been conceding 1.51 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
- ⚠Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
- ⚠The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.
Recent form
JFK Ventspils
JDFS Alberts
Frequently asked questions
Who will win JFK Ventspils vs JDFS Alberts?
GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 38% confidence.
What is the predicted score for JFK Ventspils vs JDFS Alberts?
A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.
Will both teams score in JFK Ventspils vs JDFS Alberts?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in JFK Ventspils vs JDFS Alberts?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.