JFC JelgavavsMārupe

JFC Jelgava are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.75 conceded, while Mārupe are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Mārupe hold a 41.1-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.9% in the Cup, while Mārupe holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.