Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Petrovac · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Jezero 0-0 Petrovac, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Jezero 1-2 Petrovac
Original prediction
Petrovac
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.82 | 32.1% | 33.2% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 29.5% | 30.2% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.36 | 38.4% | 36.6% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.8 pts
Projected Score
Jezero 0–0 Petrovac
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Petrovac
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Petrovac has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
JezeroDWDLD
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
PetrovacLLLLD
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
JezeroPetrovac
36.4Attack33.3
45.5Defence59.3
33.3Form29.6
40.2Power42.1
0.96xG1.03